The question I am asked most often is why the map sometimes does not match the median electoral-vote calculation. This occurs when state races are toss-ups, and happens for the following reason. I do ...

Igor Halperin proposes an analytical approach to calculating the tail probabilities of compound distributions that have individual components with heavy tails. This offers an alternative to more ...

The Assurance Magazine, and Journal of the Institute of Actuaries, Vol. 5, No. 1 (1855), pp. 1-6 (6 pages) ...